Crested Butte Avalanche Center http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org Daily avalanche report and weather forecast for Crested Butte, Colorado en-us Copyright 2012 Crested Butte Avalanche Center Sun, 05 Feb 2012 13:45:00 GMT Sun, 05 Feb 2012 13:46:39 GMT Sun, 05 Feb 2012 13:45:00 GMT Avalanche Report for Sunday February 5, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=727 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=727 Avalanche Report Time and warm temperatures are helping the upper snowpack settle into a cohesive slab but the lower snowpack still remains very weak. This is causing our snowpack to feel deceptively stable on most aspects. All it takes is 30 seconds to hop off your skis and post-hole through the "stronger" snow to observe the weaker underlying snowpack structure. Shady northwest through east aspects below treeline have the most pronounced strong over weak layering where January storm snow rests entirely on weak facets. Many near and above treeline wind-loaded slopes that face north through east and around to the south have stacks of wind slabs piled up on crusts and facets. The likelihood of triggering an avalanche is slowly decreasing but the consequences remain very severe: if you do trigger an avalanche, chances are it will be large and destructive. Partly cloudy, 0-2" snow, south winds 5-15 mph and a high near 25. Mostly cloudy, 1-3", south winds 5-15 mph and a low near 5. Mostly cloudy, 0-2", west southwest winds 5-15 mph and a high near 22. A closed low wobbling around the Rockies will feebly attempt to spin moisture through Colorado for the next 24 hours. The result for our corner of the Elk Mountains will be areas of cloudy skies and a chance of snow today and into tomorrow. We could see some convective showers with locally higher accumulations in the high-country, but we are looking at picking up a few inches at best. Winds shift to the northwest on Tuesday and set us up for a mostly dry week. Time and warm temperatures are helping the upper snowpack settle into a cohesive slab but the lower snowpack still remains very weak. This is causing our snowpack to feel deceptively stable on most aspects. All it takes is 30 seconds to hop off your skis and post-hole through the "stronger" snow to observe the weaker underlying snowpack structure. Shady northwest through east aspects below treeline have the most pronounced strong over weak layering where January storm snow rests entirely on weak facets. Many near and above treeline wind-loaded slopes that face north through east and around to the south have stacks of wind slabs piled up on crusts and facets. The likelihood of triggering an avalanche is slowly decreasing but the consequences remain very severe: if you do trigger an avalanche, chances are it will be large and destructive. The avalanche danger is <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "yellow">MODERATE (Level 2)</font color = "yellow"></a> on all aspects and elevations. We are dealing with "Scary Moderate" avalanche danger. It has been almost a week since the last reported human triggered slide, but it remains possible to trigger a large and destructive avalanche today. Be extra cautious around all terrain steeper than 35 degrees and expect previously wind loaded slopes to be extremely variable. Don't assume that any slope is safe just because there are already tracks down it. John MacKinnon Sat, 04 Feb 2012 12:55:00 GMT Avalanche Report for Saturday February 4, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=726 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=726 Avalanche Report We are seeing our snowpack settle and gain strength over time. The lack of snow and mild temperatures are allowing many slopes to heal and stabilize but weak faceted snow may still be lingering on some slopes. It may difficult to initiate an avalanche but if a slope releases it may be deeper and wider than expected. Lower elevations that have had little to no traffic may be especially unstable. Steep wind loaded slopes should also be treated with extra caution particularly at higher elevations. Partly cloudy, light south winds 5-15 mph and highs around 30. Mostly clear, light southwest winds, lows around zero. Partly cloudy light south winds and highs around 30. After a disappointing showing from the last storm we should at least have beautiful weather over the weekend.<br>Lingering clouds with mild temperatures are expected for the next few days. A high pressure ridge to our northwest is blocking any significant moisture from hitting our mountains. We may see above normal highs and lows dipping into the single digits. We may be in for another long dry spell. We are seeing our snowpack settle and gain strength over time. The lack of snow and mild temperatures are allowing many slopes to heal and stabilize but weak faceted snow may still be lingering on some slopes. It may difficult to initiate an avalanche but if a slope releases it may be deeper and wider than expected. Lower elevations that have had little to no traffic may be especially unstable. Steep wind loaded slopes should also be treated with extra caution particularly at higher elevations. Overall <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "yellow">MODERATE (Level 2)</font color = "yellow"></a> on all aspects and elevations. Treat every slope over 35 degrees with caution. It may not be the first or second person on a slope to trigger the side. Just because you are last in your party does make it safer. Analyze the entire slope. Ask your self if you are in a safer area, where would I end up if an avalanche did occur? Are there any terrain traps. Alan Bernholtz Sat, 04 Feb 2012 12:55:00 GMT Avalanche Report for Saturday February 4, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=725 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=725 Avalanche Report We are seeing our snowpack settle and gain strength over time. The lack of snow and mild temperatures are allowing many slopes to heal and stabilize but weak faceted snow may still be lingering on some slopes. It may difficult to initiate an avalanche but if a slope releases it may be deeper and wider than expected. Lower elevations that have had little to no traffic may be especially unstable. Steep wind loaded slopes should also be treated with extra caution particularly at higher elevations. Partly cloudy, light south winds 5-15 mph and highs around 30. Mostly clear, light southwest winds, lows around zero. Partly cloudy light south winds and highs around 30. After a disappointing showing from the last storm we should at least have beautiful weather over the weekend.<br>Lingering clouds with mild temperatures are expected for the next few days. A high pressure ridge to our northwest is blocking any significant moisture from hitting our mountains. We may see above normal highs and lows dipping into the single digits. We may be in for another long dry spell. We are seeing our snowpack settle and gain strength over time. The lack of snow and mild temperatures are allowing many slopes to heal and stabilize but weak faceted snow may still be lingering on some slopes. It may difficult to initiate an avalanche but if a slope releases it may be deeper and wider than expected. Lower elevations that have had little to no traffic may be especially unstable. Steep wind loaded slopes should also be treated with extra caution particularly at higher elevations. Overall <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "yellow">MODERATE (Level 2)</font color = "yellow"></a> on all aspects and elevations. Treat every slope over 35 degrees with caution. It may not be the first or second person on a slope to trigger the side. Just because you are last in your party does make it safer. Analyze the entire slope. Ask your self if you are in a safer area, where would I end up if an avalanche did occur? Are there any terrain traps. Alan Bernholtz Fri, 03 Feb 2012 14:00:00 GMT Avalanche Report for Friday February 3, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=724 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=724 Avalanche Report This latest round or snow will do little to change the backcountry avalanche danger. Winds gusted barely into the teens at Scarp Ridge, meaning very little snow fell and very little snow was moved. Our last reported avalanche came from the Paradise Divide zone on Monday, although reports of collapsing and cracking continue from below treeline. The snowpack has had some time to adjust to January's snowfall, meaning natural avalanche activity has ended, though the probability of triggering avalanches remains elevated. The structure of the snowpack is very suspect. Large, loose snow grains near the bottom of the pack are barely supporting the weight of the slabs above, and layers of crusts are surrounded by thin weak layers as well. Snowpack tests show it will not take much to trigger avalanches in areas with these characteristics. Mostly cloudy with light snow showers possible. Light Easterly winds 5-15 mph and highs near 30. Partly cloudy with light Easterly winds and lows in the single digits. Clearing skies with light Southeast winds and cool temperature near 20. Low pressure spun to our South yesterday, then worked it's way East leaving us in the doldrums with light winds and just a little snow. Weather stations around the valley show totals of 1-4" in the high country. Expect to see some residual moisture bringing clouds and a few spurts of snow today, but no real accumulation. This latest round or snow will do little to change the backcountry avalanche danger. Winds gusted barely into the teens at Scarp Ridge, meaning very little snow fell and very little snow was moved. Our last reported avalanche came from the Paradise Divide zone on Monday, although reports of collapsing and cracking continue from below treeline. The snowpack has had some time to adjust to January's snowfall, meaning natural avalanche activity has ended, though the probability of triggering avalanches remains elevated. The structure of the snowpack is very suspect. Large, loose snow grains near the bottom of the pack are barely supporting the weight of the slabs above, and layers of crusts are surrounded by thin weak layers as well. Snowpack tests show it will not take much to trigger avalanches in areas with these characteristics. Pockets of <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "orange">CONSIDERABLE (Level 3)</font color = "orange"><a/> will remain on all Northwest-North-Southeast slopes. <br>The danger is <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "yellow">MODERATE (Level 2)</font color = "yellow"></a> on all other slopes Our snowpack has deceptive strength is the upper layers. While it may seem that you are staying on top and not affecting deep weak layers, all it takes is finding the sweet spot where the slab is thinner or less supportive, and therefore triggered avalanche remain possible to likely in all areas. Time and warmer temperatures usually help the snowpack gain strength, but in our case this is only limited to the upper layers of the snowpack. The lower layers remain extremely weak and will stay that way for a long time. Conditions are a bit unpredictable from one area to the next and it may be easy to get surprised by triggering a large avalanche release. When in doubt, defer to lower angled terrain and safer travel techniques. Remember that remotely trigger an avalanche from far away remains a possibility as well! Steve Banks Thu, 02 Feb 2012 14:00:00 GMT Avalanche Report for Thursday February 2, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=723 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=723 Avalanche Report Light density new snow today with little winds will not change the avalanche danger much. If anything, it will add just a little more load to an already touchy snowpack. Recent remotely triggered avalanches as well as bigger than expected explosive releases show the unpredictable nature of the snowpack. Our "midpack" feels supportive in some areas, but below it lies a weak and faceted base. Wind slabs and stiffer, denser snow are able to carry failures in the snowpack over long distances, creating large avalanches when the weak area is affected. Snow with 3-5" possible in the mountains. Light winds will shift around to the East and North with high temperatures in the upper 20's. Continued snow tapering off toward morning with an additional 1-3". Light Northeast winds and a low in the upper teens. Cloudy with light snow showers possible. Light Northeast winds and highs in the mid 20's. While snow has finally begun falling this morning, weather models have shifted the bulk of the snowfall to our South and East. The low pressure system is digging hard toward the Four Corners area, then closes off and lifts toward Kansas. We will receive fresh snow today and tonight with winds remaining relatively light. Things will clear up toward the weekend as the sun returns. Light density new snow today with little winds will not change the avalanche danger much. If anything, it will add just a little more load to an already touchy snowpack. Recent remotely triggered avalanches as well as bigger than expected explosive releases show the unpredictable nature of the snowpack. Our "midpack" feels supportive in some areas, but below it lies a weak and faceted base. Wind slabs and stiffer, denser snow are able to carry failures in the snowpack over long distances, creating large avalanches when the weak area is affected. The danger remains <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "orange">CONSIDERABLE (Level 3)</font color = "orange"><a/> on all Northwest, North and East slopes and at higher elevations on Southeast to South slopes<br> The danger is <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "yellow">MODERATE (Level 2)</font color = "yellow"></a> on West and Southwest slopes and below treeline on South and Southeast slopes While natural avalanche activity has all but ended, triggered avalanche remain possible to likely in all areas. Time and warmer temperature usually help the snowpack gain strength, but in our case this is only limited to the upper layers of the snowpack. The lower layers remain extremely weak and will stay that way for a long time. Choosing terrain right now is difficult as there are many variables in the distribution of weak layers slab thickness. What you find in one area does not translate well to the next. Keep your eyes open and use safer travel techniques as you might be surprised out there. Steve Banks Wed, 01 Feb 2012 13:45:00 GMT Avalanche Report for Wednesday February 1, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=722 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=722 Avalanche Report As observations trickled into the CBAC yesterday, it turns out that a skier triggered the slide on Mt. Baldy on Monday. Snowmobilers had been high-marking in the bowl on Sunday, but the avalanche occurred Monday as a skier dropped into the bowl and skied between their tracks. The slide was triggered remotely from over 600 feet away! Crown heights were estimated to range from 1 foot to over 6 feet and the slide was a big enough to bury or kill a person. Our snowpack is deceptively stable and wind-affected slopes will be variable and tricky to asses. Human triggered avalanches remain likely on many slopes and remote triggering an avalanche from a long distance away remains possible too.<br><br>While temperatures have been helping the upper snowpack gain strength, the lower part part of the snowpack remains very weak. Don't be fooled by the apparent "supportiveness" of our snowpack. Stronger snow--old storm slabs and wind slabs--is resting on weaker snow and will be reactive throughout the week. Observers continue to report shooting cracks and rumbling collapses from below treeline where the most striking strong over weak layering exists. With more snow in the forecast expect the danger to remain elevated through the weekend. Mostly clear with a few high clouds, west winds 5-15 mph and a high near 32. Increasing clouds, 0-2" snow possible, south winds 5-15 mph and a low of 10. Snow, 3-7", north northwest winds 5-15 mph and a high near 25. We can expect a mild and sunny day with a few high clouds as weak high pressure slides east across Colorado today. Clouds will begin to increase tonight as another disturbance approaches. Snow will begin early Thursday morning and continue through the day. The low-pressure system closes itself off Thursday evening but unsettled weather will continue into Friday before the skies clear out for the weekend. Models are still struggling with when and where the majority of the snow will fall, but we are looking at picking up between 6 and 12 inches by Friday. As observations trickled into the CBAC yesterday, it turns out that a skier triggered the slide on Mt. Baldy on Monday. Snowmobilers had been high-marking in the bowl on Sunday, but the avalanche occurred Monday as a skier dropped into the bowl and skied between their tracks. The slide was triggered remotely from over 600 feet away! Crown heights were estimated to range from 1 foot to over 6 feet and the slide was a big enough to bury or kill a person. Our snowpack is deceptively stable and wind-affected slopes will be variable and tricky to asses. Human triggered avalanches remain likely on many slopes and remote triggering an avalanche from a long distance away remains possible too.<br><br>While temperatures have been helping the upper snowpack gain strength, the lower part part of the snowpack remains very weak. Don't be fooled by the apparent "supportiveness" of our snowpack. Stronger snow--old storm slabs and wind slabs--is resting on weaker snow and will be reactive throughout the week. Observers continue to report shooting cracks and rumbling collapses from below treeline where the most striking strong over weak layering exists. With more snow in the forecast expect the danger to remain elevated through the weekend. The avalanche danger is <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "orange">CONSIDERABLE (Level 3)</font color = "orange"><a/> on NW-N-NE-E aspects at all elevations and on S and SE aspects near and above treeline. The danger is <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "yellow">MODERATE (Level 2)</font color = "yellow"></a> on all other aspects and elevations. While it has been almost a week since the last snow fell in the Elk Mountains, dangerous avalanche conditions still exist on many slopes that face north through east and around to the south. Past storm snow and winds have created a complex snowpack that is difficult to asses. Don't let your guard down today just because of the mild temperatures and sunny skies. Evaluate each slope carefully: triggered avalanches have the potential to be large and deadly. John MacKinnon Tue, 31 Jan 2012 13:45:00 GMT Avalanche Report for Tuesday January 31, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=721 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=721 Avalanche Report West and southwest winds picked up yesterday afternoon and drifted snow at ridge-tops. Recent blowing snow will add to the wind slab problem on lee slopes near and above treeline. Observers reported a snowmobile triggered avalanche from the south facing bowl on Mt. Baldy yesterday. The slide ran close to 75 meters across the slope, 200 meters vertically and was big enough to bury or kill a person. It remains likely to trigger an avalanche today on many slopes. Approach all terrain steeper than 30 degrees with extra caution; all triggered avalanches have the potential to propagate larger than expected and remote triggering a slide from below a slope remains possible today as well.<br><br>January storm snow has been settling into cohesive slabs due to the recent warmer temperatures. While temperatures have been helping the upper snowpack gain strength, the lower part part of the snowpack remains very weak. Don't be fooled by the apparent "supportiveness" of our snowpack. Stronger snow--old storm slabs and wind slabs--is resting on much weaker snow throughout the backcountry and will be reactive throughout the week. Observers continue to report shooting cracking and rumbling collapses from below treeline where the most striking strong over weak layering exists. Partly cloudy, west winds 10-20 mph and a high near 32. Clearing skies, west northwest winds 5-15 mph and a low around 10. Mostly clear, southwest winds 5-15 mph and a high near 35. A westerly flow embedded with short-wave disturbances will bring mild temperatures and several bursts of snow through the week. Don't expect much out of the weak trough that passes through Colorado today except an increase in clouds, but the disturbances do get progressively stronger as the week goes on. After a sunny and warm day tomorrow, watch for a good shot of moisture to arrive late Wednesday night and continue into Friday. The final disturbance looks like it could bring us a decent chance for snow this weekend. West and southwest winds picked up yesterday afternoon and drifted snow at ridge-tops. Recent blowing snow will add to the wind slab problem on lee slopes near and above treeline. Observers reported a snowmobile triggered avalanche from the south facing bowl on Mt. Baldy yesterday. The slide ran close to 75 meters across the slope, 200 meters vertically and was big enough to bury or kill a person. It remains likely to trigger an avalanche today on many slopes. Approach all terrain steeper than 30 degrees with extra caution; all triggered avalanches have the potential to propagate larger than expected and remote triggering a slide from below a slope remains possible today as well.<br><br>January storm snow has been settling into cohesive slabs due to the recent warmer temperatures. While temperatures have been helping the upper snowpack gain strength, the lower part part of the snowpack remains very weak. Don't be fooled by the apparent "supportiveness" of our snowpack. Stronger snow--old storm slabs and wind slabs--is resting on much weaker snow throughout the backcountry and will be reactive throughout the week. Observers continue to report shooting cracking and rumbling collapses from below treeline where the most striking strong over weak layering exists. The avalanche danger is <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "orange">CONSIDERABLE (Level 3)</font color = "orange"><a/> on NW-N-NE-E aspects at all elevations and on S and SE aspects near and above treeline. The danger is <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "yellow">MODERATE (Level 2)</font color = "yellow"></a> on all other aspects and elevations. Cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making are essential out there today. Don't be fooled by supportive snow or decreasing signs of instability. Time and warm temperatures have made these slabs stubborn, but they are still dangerous and will be reactive on steep slopes. Take the time to dig into the snow and see what the last 3 weeks of storm snow is resting on. When in doubt about the stability of a given slope, defer to terrain that you know is safe. John MacKinnon Mon, 30 Jan 2012 14:00:00 GMT Avalanche Report for Monday January 30, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=720 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=720 Avalanche Report We are still dealing with a prolonged period of elevated avalanche danger. With over five feet of snow and a number of wind events in the second half of this month, the snowpack remains very touchy. Our last storm of over a foot ended on Friday and was followed by significant wind loading at and above treeline. Numerous avalanches were reported late last week at all elevations. Yesterday a smaller natural avalanche occurred on a SE aspect of Red Lady Bowl. Friday, a size D2 skier triggered avalanche was reported from Ruby Mountain that was 3 ft deep in places and ran 900ft wide. While natural activity has been slowing, triggering avalanches remain likely on most slopes over 30 degrees. Observers have reported failures propagating surprisingly large distances. <br><br>The current warm temperatures are adding cohesion to the existing slabs in the upper part of the snowpack. However, this will do little to help the extremely weak facetted layers underlying the slabs. On most slopes we are dealing with slabs sitting over these granular, sugar-like layers. Below treeline the weak snowpack is very reactive. Friday through Saturday night brought our most recent wind loading event. Thicker and more energetic windslabs are now resting on leeward slopes at and above treeline. Partly cloudy, high around 32, SW winds 5-15mph. Partly cloudy, 0-1&rdquo; snow possible, low near 15, SW winds 5-15mph. Partly cloudy, 0-1&rdquo; snow possible, high around 30, W winds 5-15mph. High pressure has begun to break down shifting to a westerly flow. A series of short wave disturbances will affect the forecast are through Thursday. Most of these will have only a minor influence on the Elk Mountains with the bulk of the precipitation staying to our north. Expect a chance for light snow tonight into the middle of the week. By Thursday we may see more significant snowfall. We are still dealing with a prolonged period of elevated avalanche danger. With over five feet of snow and a number of wind events in the second half of this month, the snowpack remains very touchy. Our last storm of over a foot ended on Friday and was followed by significant wind loading at and above treeline. Numerous avalanches were reported late last week at all elevations. Yesterday a smaller natural avalanche occurred on a SE aspect of Red Lady Bowl. Friday, a size D2 skier triggered avalanche was reported from Ruby Mountain that was 3 ft deep in places and ran 900ft wide. While natural activity has been slowing, triggering avalanches remain likely on most slopes over 30 degrees. Observers have reported failures propagating surprisingly large distances. <br><br>The current warm temperatures are adding cohesion to the existing slabs in the upper part of the snowpack. However, this will do little to help the extremely weak facetted layers underlying the slabs. On most slopes we are dealing with slabs sitting over these granular, sugar-like layers. Below treeline the weak snowpack is very reactive. Friday through Saturday night brought our most recent wind loading event. Thicker and more energetic windslabs are now resting on leeward slopes at and above treeline. The avalanche danger is <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "orange">CONSIDERABLE (Level 3)</font color = "orange"><a/> on NW-N-E slopes at all elevations as well as on S and SE slopes at and above treeline. <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "yellow">MODERATE (Level 2)</font color = "yellow"></a> danger exists on all SW and W slopes as well as S and SE aspects below treeline. Our current conditions present some of the trickiest decision-making. Conservative route-finding and terrain selection are essential today. Expect that it will be likely to trigger slopes 30 degrees and steeper where considerable danger exists. Be especially cautious around any wind loaded terrain and slopes over 35 degrees where large and deadly avalanches could be triggered. Watch for signs of instability such as cracking and collapsing. Heed these warnings from the snowpack as a sign to stay off steeper terrain. This is a good time to enjoy the excellent powder that still exists on lower angle slopes. Josh Hirshberg Mon, 30 Jan 2012 13:45:00 GMT Avalanche Report for Monday January 30, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=719 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6891&reportid=719 Avalanche Report We are still dealing with a prolonged period of elevated avalanche danger. With over five feet of snow and a number of wind events in the second half of this month, the snowpack remains very touchy. Our last storm of over a foot ended on Friday and was followed by significant wind loading at and above treeline. Numerous avalanches were reported late this week at all elevations. Yesterday a smaller natural avalanche occurred on a SE aspect of Red Lady Bowl. Friday, a size D2 skier triggered avalanche was reported from Ruby Mountain that was 3 ft deep in places and ran 900ft wide. While natural activity has been slowing, triggering avalanches remains likely on most slopes over 30 degrees. Observers have reported failures propagating surprisingly large distances. <br><br>The current warm temperatures are adding cohesion to the existing slabs in the upper part of the snowpack. However, this will do little to help the extremely weak facetted layers underlying the slabs. On most slopes we are dealing with slabs sitting over these granular, sugar-like layers. Below treeline the weak snowpack is very reactive. Friday through Saturday night brought our most recent wind loading event. Thicker and more energetic windslabs are now resting on leeward slopes at and above treeline. Partly cloudy, high around 32, SW winds 5-15mph. Partly cloudy, low near 15, SW winds 5-15mph. Partly cloudy, high around 30, W winds 5-15mph. High pressure has begun to break down shifting to a westerly flow. A series of short wave disturbances will affect the forecast are through Thursday. Most of these will have only a minor influence on the Elk Mountains with the bulk of the precipitation staying to our north. Expect a chance for light snow tonight into the middle of the week. By Thursday we may see more significant snowfall. We are still dealing with a prolonged period of elevated avalanche danger. With over five feet of snow and a number of wind events in the second half of this month, the snowpack remains very touchy. Our last storm of over a foot ended on Friday and was followed by significant wind loading at and above treeline. Numerous avalanches were reported late this week at all elevations. Yesterday a smaller natural avalanche occurred on a SE aspect of Red Lady Bowl. Friday, a size D2 skier triggered avalanche was reported from Ruby Mountain that was 3 ft deep in places and ran 900ft wide. While natural activity has been slowing, triggering avalanches remains likely on most slopes over 30 degrees. Observers have reported failures propagating surprisingly large distances. <br><br>The current warm temperatures are adding cohesion to the existing slabs in the upper part of the snowpack. However, this will do little to help the extremely weak facetted layers underlying the slabs. On most slopes we are dealing with slabs sitting over these granular, sugar-like layers. Below treeline the weak snowpack is very reactive. Friday through Saturday night brought our most recent wind loading event. Thicker and more energetic windslabs are now resting on leeward slopes at and above treeline. The avalanche danger is <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "orange">CONSIDERABLE (Level 3)</font color = "orange"><a/> on NW-N-E slopes at all elevations as well as on S and SE slopes at and above treeline. <a href="http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=6884" target="_blank"><font color = "yellow">MODERATE (Level 2)</font color = "yellow"></a> danger exists on all SW and W slopes as well as S and SE aspects below treeline. Our current conditions present some of the trickiest decision-making. Conservative route-finding and terrain selection is essential today. Expect that it will be likely to trigger any slope 30 degrees and steeper. Be especially cautious around any wind loaded terrain and slopes over 35 degrees where large and deadly avalanches could be triggered. Watch for signs of instability such as cracking and collapsing. Heed these warnings from the snowpack as a sign to stay off steeper terrain. This is a good time to enjoy the excellent powder that still exists on lower angle slopes. Josh Hirshberg Thu, 02 Feb 2012 07:00:00 GMT Avalanche Observation on Thursday February 2, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1434 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1434 Avalanche Observation Crested Butte Zone, SE at 10-12,000 Calm and warm (mid 20s) on top (at 2 p.m.) as the storm rolled in.<br>Light snow. Anything jacked west had a sun crust. Heard from someone skiing down<br>the RL glades that they had one collapse. Thu, 02 Feb 2012 07:00:00 GMT Avalanche Observation on Thursday February 2, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1433 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1433 Avalanche Observation Crested Butte Zone, E/NE at 10,900 Tour up and over Coney's Ridge. Got several collapses while breaking trail in the trees and one large collapse on a 25* open slope. Some collapses were large enough to shake the trees! Scattered snow came and went throughout the day with no noticeable accumulation. Southeast winds picked up in the afternoon, but did not observe any blowing snow. Skiing was uniform and supportive with ski penetration of about 15-20 cm. Wed, 01 Feb 2012 07:00:00 GMT Avalanche Observation on Wednesday February 1, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1432 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1432 Avalanche Observation Paradis Divide Zone, S at 11,000 Cloudy afternoon with light and variable winds. Temperatures were just below freezing. <br>Lower angled terrain held soft surface snow, while steeper slopes had a crust. Below the surface there was a 1 finger hard slab 6-10" thick depending on the area. All areas had 1-1.5 feet of large, sugary depth hoar snow going down to the ground. When walking around in boots every other step would sink to the ground. On skis you could stay on the surface more easily. <br>Noticed several smaller avalanches which ran many days ago. Some of these were surprisingly small and in areas where you would not expect to see slides. Most steep rollovers, even on small slopes showed evidence of previous avalanching. Wed, 01 Feb 2012 07:00:00 GMT Avalanche Observation on Wednesday February 1, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1431 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1431 Avalanche Observation Irwin, various at near and below Treeline Weather: Another day with below TL temps nearing, but not exceeding freezing,<br>and nighttime temps in the single-digits. Winds have been light<br>today, starting out W'ly and shifting to S'ly as clear skies yielded<br>to high thin clouds and then overcast skies.<br>Avalanches: No avalanches today in our terrain and no new naturals spotted in the<br>vicinity.<br>Snowpack:<br>Mild temps have continued to slowly settle and strengthen the<br>snowpack. Signs of instability have been slowly decreasing this week, with no<br>signs of instability today, even in some lesser-travelled pockets on<br>E-S-W aspects below TL where we have previously seen some small,<br>untraveled pockets still be reactive. All aspects and elevations have<br>good supportability, though it is still close to threshold in below<br>TL areas on more W'ly aspects.<br>The recent near-freezing daytime temps and single-digit nighttime<br>temps have created near-surface faceting in the upper snowpack,<br>particularly on S'ly and E'ly aspects near and below TL. This makes<br>for excellent surface conditions, but may become a weak layer once<br>buried. On more W'ly aspects near and below TL, soft snow from last<br>week's storm remains soft.<br>Above TL, there remains a mix of windslabs on more E'ly terrain with<br>S and W aspects having variable wind-loaded and wind-scoured pockets. Mon, 30 Jan 2012 07:00:00 GMT Avalanche Observation on Monday January 30, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1430 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1430 Avalanche Observation Paradise Divide Zone, S at 12,000 Some cracking and whumphing on ascent of Baldy via low SW side of<br>main South facing bowl. Climbed to ridge top with blowing snow and<br>skied variable depth down bowl (thin, wind scoured up top to deeper<br>lower in bowl). First skier remotely triggered (300 meters away) a R2<br>D2 windslab that ran to the ground on the East facing side of the<br>bowl. Crown varied from a foot deep to 6 ft plus. The avalanche<br>reached back to our skin track on the ridge, but stayed away from our<br>planned descent lines. The avalanche also took out some snowmobile<br>high mark tracks from the day before (Sunday). Sat, 29 Dec 2012 07:00:00 GMT Avalanche Observation on Saturday December 29, 2012 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1355 http://www.cbavalanchecenter.org/page.cfm?pageid=7400#observation1355 Avalanche Observation Washington Gulch, All at 9,800-12,600 -Overcast skies w/ clouds lifting off of ridgetops by 1pm then<br>descending again by 4pm. Graupel fell throughout the day w/ 2cm new<br>snow. N winds aloft. We saw moderate localized winds from ALL<br>directions w/ some strong gusts. Moderate wind transport, but not<br>much available snow<br>-Small skier triggered point release occurred on a NE slope @ 12,200ft.<br>Ran 500ft and was 20cm deep. Not a facet sluff. It ran much fasted<br>-Cracks propagating up to 10m w/ collapse @ 2 different slopes<br>11,600ft on ENE and N asp.<br> -Both occured @ interface of windslab & underlying facets 10-15cm<br>below the surface.<br>-Alpine & treeline N and NE slopes were variable in HS and had<br>pockets of reactive windslab<br>-S/SW slopes had mostly supportive sun crusts with underlying facets<br>even above treeline.